World Cup 2026 Best Bets: My Picks for the 22 June Fixtures
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Four fixtures on this slate, and a warning from someone who’s seen it before: nights with short-priced favourites are where punters quietly bleed value. Here are my rated picks, with AEST kick-offs for those of you setting an early alarm. Odds as at 22 June 2026 (sources: ESPN, FOX Sports) — confirm with your bookie before you back in.

- Four World Cup matches on 22 June — short-priced favourites dominate, so the value is in scorer and team-total markets.
- My top pick: Messi anytime scorer (~1.80) and Haaland anytime scorer (~1.95) — two legs max for a multi.
- Norway v Senegal is the only competitive 1X2 match on the card (even-money contest).
- Jordan v Algeria lacks reliable data — I’d avoid until the dust settles. Online in-play betting is not permitted in AU.
The card at a glance
| Fixture | AEST (Tue 23) | 1 | X | 2 |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina v Austria | 3:00am | 1.58 | 3.65 | 5.38 |
| France v Iraq | 7:00am | 1.08 | 7.68 | 27.84 |
| Norway v Senegal | 10:00am | 2.04 | 3.41 | 3.22 |
| Jordan v Algeria | 1:00pm | 6.24 | 3.98 | 1.47 |
Argentina v Austria — my pick: Messi to score
Messi is one goal off Klose’s all-time World Cup record. At 1.58 the head-to-head is no play; the story (and the value) is Messi anytime scorer. Full preview in my Argentina v Austria odds piece. My Rating: 8/10.
France v Iraq — my pick: France team total over
Opta has France at 88.5%; the price is 1.08. There’s nothing in the result — I’d chase the France goals line instead. My Rating: 7/10.
Norway v Senegal — my pick: Haaland to score
The night’s one genuine contest (2.04 / 3.41 / 3.22). Haaland has scored in 11 straight for Norway, so Haaland anytime scorer is my play. More in my Group I breakdown. My Rating: 7/10.
Jordan v Algeria — what I’d avoid
Algeria are short (the 2 at 1.47) with Mahrez back, and it’s a 1:00pm filler. My Rating: 5/10 — leave it alone.
Expert Verdict
Skip the unbackable favourites and concentrate on the scorer markets and the one even-money contest, Norway-Senegal. Two legs max if you’re building a multi — Messi and Haaland to score is plenty. Set your stake first and stick to it. Full markets on Best World Cup Betting Markets. A reminder: online in-play betting isn’t permitted in Australia, so get these on pre-match. Bet responsibly — see responsible gambling, 18+. Compare lines at MrPacho or Boomerang Bet.com for AU decimal odds.
Odds as at 22 June 2026 (decimal, sources: ESPN, FOX Sports). Online in-play betting is not permitted in Australia. Gamble responsibly — 18+.